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Could AI Make Humans Extinct Within the Next Decade?

Engineers chasing AI that got away and Bernie Sanders pressing the pause button to stop AI

More than 10% chance.

That is the personal estimate of Evan Hubinger, the lead alignment science researcher at Anthropic, when asked about the probability that artificial intelligence could cause human extinction within the next ten years.

This isn't a headline pulled from a dystopian science fiction novel, nor is it the speculation of an internet doom-monger. It is a sobering assessment delivered by one of the senior figures tasked with keeping frontier AI systems safe at one of the world's

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