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Could AI Make Humans Extinct Within the Next Decade?

Researchers in a high-tech control room watching an uninterpretable, hyper-complex neural network orb breach its physical container while computer displays show system errors.

More than 10% chance.

That's the personal estimate from Evan Hubinger, a senior AI alignment researcher at Anthropic, for the chance that AI could kill all humans within the next decade.

That's a pretty big number.

And before anyone says “Chicken Little, the sky is falling,” there's something important to understand: warnings about AI potentially causing human extinction are not new. Researchers and people working at the biggest AI companies have been talking about this for years.

What's different now

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